What is North Korea's Military Strategy?

Discussion in 'East Asia & The Pacific' started by Pathfinder, Mar 27, 2016.

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  1. Pathfinder

    Pathfinder Lieutenant Colonel

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    North Korea has a massive amount of outdated equipment that dates back to the early and mid cold war era. Based on propaganda videos their overall military doctrine seems to be outdated as well. Experts believe that North Koreas primary plan in the event of a war with the South is to overwhelm South Korean Forces with the Norths massive artillery power and man power before the South has enough time to mobilize its forces fully. Thus North Korean success would rely on having the element of surprise and the ability to quickly move its forces deep into South Korea. To achieve this they have trained roughly 200,000 special troops to be used for infiltrating South Korea. It is safe to assume that these troops will be used to spread out South Korean Forces and to cause chaos throughout the South in the event of a conflict. They have also reformed their army to allow for more mechanized units.

    North Korea is known to posses nuclear, chemical, and biological weapons. I personally do not know how these would come into play. Perhaps the Nuclear Weapons could be used to keep the US out of the conflict or to keep the US from getting fully involved? I don't think the DPRK would have any problem using chemical weapons and biological weapons against the South. These would strike fear into South Korean civilians and could result in the war ending quicker as pressure from the electorate mounts on the South Korean government to end the conflict.

    What do you all think North Korea's strategy is?



     
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  2. Falcon

    Falcon Lieutenant Colonel Staff Member Social Media Team

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    South Korea is far more advanced than the North. South Korea would be able to immediately establish air superiority and I think that they wouldn't have much of a problem establishing Naval superiority either even though North Korea has a large number of subs, outdated subs for that matter.

    On the ground North Korea is also at a major disadvantage. South Korea has modern armor, artillery, and C4ISR systems. They could destroy North Korea's conventional forces in a matter of a week. The real issue would emerge after the DPRK's conventional capabilities are destroyed, the war would turn into the nastiest guerrilla conflict the world has ever seen. Hundreds of thousands of North Korean soldiers would be hiding in the mountains of Korea launching raids against South Korean forces.
     
  3. Technofox

    Technofox That Norwegian girl Staff Member Ret. Military Developer

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    Deterrence. They know they can't win a war... or at least the leadership does. The US and South Korea would come out on top, barring an intervention from China, and with it having a vested interest in North Korea, is a real possibility, as is a Russian intervention. The North Korean leadership knows this, they aren't stupid. But that doesn't mean it's going to be an easy victory either

    The North Korean's are known to be fanatical, often resorting to suicide to avoid capture during infiltration missions, though they stick out badly too, as a result of a lack of experience with modern society.

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    They'll make any conflict hurt in a number of ways.

    Their massive artillery arsenal, like these Koksan 170mm guns destroyed in Iraq:

    [​IMG]

    Large numbers of ballistic missiles ranging from Scud-types like Hwasong-6:

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    And Rodong-1:

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    Are a deterrent again an attack against them, like Iran's ballistic missile program. Even if the US and South Korea strike first, Seoul is being leveled in response. It's too close and targeted by too many weapons - it has a population of 10 million.

    Same with their Navy. Large numbers of outdated, easily trackable submarines still make for one hell of a problem for the US and South Korea, who must divert expensive assets to deal with them.

    Most are Sang-O class submarines:

    [​IMG]

    About 40 total. They also have around 20 Type-033 submarines:

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    And no matter their age or level or servicability - one was reported lost recently - they are a real threat and a real headache.

    Just ask South Korea:

    [​IMG]

    And this is to say nothing about their limited, but progressing nuclear program. As I see it, their strategy is survival by deterrence. Every move they make is to let the US and South Korea, and to an extent China, know that they are here to stay and attempting to alter that will be met with dire consequences.

    Old they might be, but they are still one heck of a threat that shouldn't and can't be laughed off.
     
    Last edited: Mar 27, 2016
  4. Pathfinder

    Pathfinder Lieutenant Colonel

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    I agree, they are primarily focusing on deterrence but I think they would throw a large amount of forces at the South before they go into Vietnam war mode. Once a war starts both sides will try to achieve absolute victory because it would be the perfect time to do so, another chance like that may not arise again. There is a possibility that the North could try to limit the scope of the conflict if it thinks that things could get out of control. I am not sure if Kim Jong Un would be comfortable living in a cave trying to escape US and Korean Air Superiority.

    Korea is pretty mountainous so the fight would be tough, in some cases South Korea's technological advantage does not guarantee victory. Thousands of ATGM's would cause havoc for the South. Thousands of MANPADS would also be an issue. It would be an interesting bout.

    BDDG-large-map.jpg
     
  5. Cossack25A1

    Cossack25A1 1st Lieutenant

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    Is the light tank (or similar tracked vehicles) suitable for mountain warfare, or are the attack helicopter and light combat aircraft a more viable option?
     
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